The Department of Justice (DoJ) announced this week that it is taking action against Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) for e-book price fixing. Jaw-dropping, isn't it? Price-fixing e-books, the nerve!
But this is kind of funny. E-books are a tiny slice of Apple's immense business. What about the fact that Apple has methodically dominated almost every other industry in which it has ever competed?
Apple is probably the best business competitor in the world. And when you win, eventually you will have to deal with anti-trust accusations, much as Microsoft dealt with in operating systems in the 1990s. Anti-trust actions are famously difficult to prove, but I think in the coming years you'll hear more about it with Apple because it controls huge amounts of business.
Apple has been growing its profits so rapidly because it has taken gigantic chunks of profit out of entire industries. Apple has gradually taken over the entire music industry by aggressively controlling and managing thousands of app developers, and dictating the future of the global telecommunications market.
While Apple doesn't own the smartphone market outright, it enjoys fatter profit margins because of its vertically integrated model -- which has come at the expense of telecom providers who must subsidize customers' never-ending thirst for iPhones and iPads.
I mean, let's face it: Whether you can prove it or not, Apple pretty much runs everything now, including having the largest single influence on the entire stock market. Let's just look at these basic facts:
Apple has single-handedly boosted the stock market. Bloomberg tells us that Apple alone has accounted for 8% of the S&P 500's rise since the 2009 bottom. And Barclay's analysts recently pointed out that Apple has had an outsized influence on the markets, accounting for 15% of the growth in all of the S&P's rise this year. They estimate Apple contributed four times its weight to the index by having outsized profits. So maybe the government should launch an inquiry into Apple controlling the stock market.
Apple's profits account for most of recent profit growth. According to FactSet research, if you subtract Apple's earnings from the market in the fourth quarter 2011, profit growth for all of the S&P 500 was -1.6%. With Apple profit growth added back in, overall profit growth was flat. That's right folks -- without Apple, there would be no growth in profits. It alone accounted for all of the profit growth in S&P 500 in the last quarter last year, and FactSet expects Apple to the be the largest source of earnings growth in Q1 2012.
Apple leverages major telecoms through subsidies. The retail price on a new iPhone can be as high as $600. A telecom carrier will sell it to you for $199. Think about Apple's core sales channel: telecom operators. Apple has so much leverage that it can largely dictate the terms in these relationships so that telecom operators subsidize sales of its devices.
In extreme cases, such as the deal with Sprint, the subsidy is a simple transfer of wealth from carrier to Apple. Sprint tagged its subsidy expense at $1.7 billion, up from $1.2 billion a year earlier. Some analysts predict this can't last, that Apple has to give back more of its profits to carriers. But Apple's immense leverage means it can dictate the terms.
Apple is taking over all of retail electronics. Blog site Zero Hedge recently calculated that Apple's market capitalization now surpasses that of the entire retail industry. How is this possible? Well, as i-devices have added functionality such as music, communications, and video, they have eliminated entire segments of the industry. Maybe this is contributing to Sony's recent woes. Once you have an iPad, you need a portable DVD player?
Apple's winning the smartphone profit battle. Though it's having a see-saw battle with the Android-powered mobile phones and can't quite gain majority market share, Apple recently gained some share back and now represents 43% of the smartphone market to Android's 53%, according to the NPD group. But more importantly, Apple makes more money in this market. Keep in mind that Google does not profit on Android directly because it gives its operating system away for free to phone manufacturers, whereas Apple controls its own manufacturing from the Operating System (OS) to the memory chips. Apple's model results in more profit, because it can charge more for all of the components in its product, including the OS. Even though it's not winning top market share, Apple is winning on profitability.
Apple controls digital music. Remember the music industry? Apple's influence and control of digital music is still growing. It now accounts for 69% of all digital music sales. Amazon is a distant second with 8 percent, according to the NPD group. Apple's growth in digital sales means it now serves up about 25% of all music units, which includes physical units (even though Apple sells no physical music units), according to the NPD group. That's up from 14% in 2007.
So... back to e-books, even though it's a mere tiny slice of Apple's gigantic expanding force. I have seen estimates that this may represent, at most, $100 million dollars of Apple's revenue. This is a company that makes $30 billion per year in profit! So when we worry about Apple's dominance in so many industries, are e-books the thing to worry about?
I think that Apple's growing power and dominance in a number of industries is likely to be a topic for trade regulators for some time. The regulators have plenty of areas to mine, most notably Apple's control of the relationships in the telecommunications sales channel.
Will they make any progress? It may take years and years, but eventually you may see more legal action against Apple in the realm of anti-trust actions.
Don't get me wrong: I think Apple earned the control of markets that it has. It has better products, and it's a better company. We're also not crying because Apple is one of the leading components of our IU25 Index, which is up 35% in one year.
But it's not just about e-books. Apple's immense control now extends to the broad range of the entire business universe.
I think it is going to be tough for Windows because they are so late to the party. However, there are a few things in their favor. They already have a large number of apps available probably because many developers are used to working with Microsoft. Also the initial Nokia phones have a good design. I think Microsoft needs to leverage other products they have as Apple does to gain share here.
What's anyone predict about Windows phones? The Microsoft-Nokia partnership is off to a bad start, from an Easter Sunday launch (when many retail AT&T stores were closed) to technical glitch that prevents some of the phones from accessing the Internet.
The whole e-books market just confounds me. The cost to the publisher is MUCH lower- no printing, no shipping, no returns, etc and yet the price is higher. How long did they think that would last? I see Apple as more a victim here- they just agreed to go along with the publishers so they could open a store and compete with Amazon. The real bad guys here are the publishers who got what they wanted from Apple. Time to disassemble this cozy pricing relationship and compete.
Noreen, Interesting data. I also think the Apple iPhone is a better product then the Android phones. However, if the Android phones continue to improve and with Google behind the Android marketplace, Android will still have some power in this market.
Android lost smartphone market share to Apple for the first time in the fourth quarter last year, slipping from 52.5% of the market to 50.9%, according to data from market research company Gartner. Apple has only 23.8% of the global smartphone market, but its share is growing. RIM is far behind (In the US, RIM has about 5% of the market, Android has 48%, Apple has 32% and all others (including Windows phones) have 4%)
Android's performance is pretty constant, but the iPhone is growing in popularity. Among recent acquirers who got their smartphone within the last three months, 48 percent of those surveyed in February said they chose an Android and 43 percent bought an iPhone, Nielsen reported in February.
True, Apple does still dominate in many markets. However, in Smartphones, Android is making gains. Will be interesting to see where this goes and how this effects the market for apps like ebooks.
Between Facebook and Apple, I don't know who is taking over more. FB grabbing instagram, Apple snatching up the cell phone and tablet market...true, its great for the economy, but not so good for competition.
Whatever happened with that threatened suit against Apple a few years ago? You know, when either the Federal Trade Commission or the Department of Justice threatened an antitrust action over Apple's decision to block Flash and other cross-platform development tools from the App Store?
We all better hope this doesn't turn out to be the "generational short" that some people apparently think it is. It could have devastating consequences if Apple contracted to a large extent.
The blogs and comments posted on Investor Uprising do not reflect the views of Investor Uprising, PRNewswire, or its sponsors. Investor Uprising, PRNewswire, and its sponsors do not assume responsibility for any comments, claims, or opinions made by authors and bloggers. They are no substitute for your own research and should not be relied upon for trading or any other purpose.
To save this item to your list of favorite Investor Uprising content so you can find it later in your Profile page, click the "Save It" button next to the item.
If you found this interesting or useful, please use the links to the services below to share it with other readers. You will need a free account with each service to share an item via that service.
Tweet This