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Top 10 Predictions for 2012 From IHS
12/14/2011

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Jacob
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Iron
Re: Inflation
Jacob   12/15/2011 4:47:15 AM
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1 saves
“The best thing about 2012 might be that it gets us slightly closer to 2013”

Noreen, it means, economics are looking 2012 only as a transition period to the previous changes, am I right. But I don’t think so, am expecting further weaken in economic and socio-economic sector further in 2012 instead of strengthen. Finally expected to be stable by 2014 or 2015.

PredictableChaos
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Platinum
Re: Inflation
PredictableChaos   12/14/2011 11:31:16 PM
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Oh yes, pharma. And Groupon will do really well, since the unemployed will need coupons to buy their drugs.

On second thought, the best meds for the 2012 investment climate may be right in front of me. How about beer stocks?

Noreen Seebacher
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Blogger
Re: Inflation
Noreen Seebacher   12/14/2011 11:05:39 PM
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Maybe pharma -- looks like a lot of people will still need antidepressants and anti anxiety pills

PredictableChaos
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Platinum
Re: Inflation
PredictableChaos   12/14/2011 7:57:48 PM
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So....

Europe is headed for recession.

US unemployment improves slightly to, maybe 8%.

Gov't spending in USA declines under either party.

Businesses aren't spending because of uncertainty.

Housing in China looks like housing in California in 2006.


And we think 2012 looks stable with some GDP growth? I'm with Scott - where on earth does the growth come from?

TelecomFreq
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Platinum
Re: Inflation
TelecomFreq   12/14/2011 3:28:49 PM
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I Think we might feel it here, but I think spending is high engough that we might be able to avoide a full blow recession. I hope so anyway.

Value Hiker
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Platinum
Re: Inflation
Value Hiker   12/14/2011 2:38:42 PM
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Agree, how can US avoid recession if both Europe & China are down? It is just impossible.

PAW
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Iron
Long wait
PAW   12/14/2011 2:17:29 PM
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Wake me up in 2013.

Scott Raynovich
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Blogger
Re: Inflation
Scott Raynovich   12/14/2011 1:41:36 PM
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Interesting observations. But I just don't get these economists who say "Europe may go into recession but we'll avoid it." It's like saying during 2008 that "The World will avoid the problems in the U.S. The world is much more interconnected now. As we saw with what happened in Japan with the quake and more recently the floods in Thailand, any ripple sends shockwaves throughout the globe. So to me it's naive to make pronouncements that we can "remain safe" and "protected" when one of the largest financial crises in history is percolating across the Atlantic.

 

AskAsa
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Platinum
Inflation
AskAsa   12/14/2011 1:35:56 PM
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I hope number six is correct and inflation remains soft.

A sharp increase would be horrible for consumer confidence.

TelecomFreq
User Rank
Platinum
Re: What a choice!
TelecomFreq   12/14/2011 12:46:47 PM
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Improvement is off in the distance, but, Like Noreen points out US consumers are willing to spend right now, that might actualy pull us to a recovery sooner rather than later. I hope so anyway.

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