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Real Estate Shows (Small) Sparks of Life

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impactnow
User Rank
Iron
Real Estate Market
impactnow   5/17/2011 12:22:48 AM
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While I agree that national numbers don’t paint the entire picture when some markets are recovering I think it’s also important to look at the overall picture. Unemployment is still a huge issue and there is still tremendous fear among workers regarding their job security. The foreclosures still have not been cleared from the books and lending is still very tight. With all these factors in play can we say that a recovery is in sight?

Scott McCaig
User Rank
Gold
Re: Investment in Real Estate so far not so good
Scott McCaig   5/13/2011 8:58:52 PM
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I've never tried it, but I heard a pretty good idea for picking the best demand-based locations for real estate. The idea is to simply research the next couple of years of publically-announced job changes (e.g. plant openings, shutdowns, expansions). I knew a guy that contacted the Fortune 500 one at a time, asked them for all these types of press releases, and grouped them by MSA (metro area). Then he adjusted by contacting all the Economic Development groups for each MSA to do the same thing. Then the exercise was to sum up the net job gains and losses for each MSA and viola! A demand forecast from public announcements! Of course, this ignores the supply side, but it's a good leading indicator. One you do this, you confirm what every has been saying - that RE trends vary a huge amount locally.

AskAsa
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Investment in Real Estate so far not so good
AskAsa   5/12/2011 4:35:35 PM
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Then again, the more I think about it, I guess we could just say North Dakota, where the oil boom is creating a housing crisis.

AskAsa
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Investment in Real Estate so far not so good
AskAsa   5/12/2011 4:33:24 PM
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The potential for job creation. While some companies look for locations where they can capitalize on pools of workers, others bring significant numbers of relocating workers with them. And those workers  need places to live.

John Jordan
User Rank
Blogger
Re: Investment in Real Estate so far not so good
John Jordan   5/12/2011 4:33:20 PM
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i think a key resource for information are reputable, knowledgable local Realtors Ask them if the rental market has gotten tight? Has sales demand increased? Are there more open houses and showings than in the recent past? Are invetory levels high due to short sales or foreclosures or has that market abated? The answer to that question could indicate whether home values will rise or still have not hit bottom.

TelecomFreq
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Investment in Real Estate so far not so good
TelecomFreq   5/12/2011 4:24:57 PM
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very true that real estate is a local ventur, and one block can be very hot while a block away is not. What are some local indicators to look for regarding what might be the next hot market in an area?

Tenacious
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Investment in Real Estate so far not so good
Tenacious   5/12/2011 4:21:30 PM
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Well said. Nothing has more of a local nuance than  real estate, and even markets within markets can vary fairly significantly. Guess we have to keep that in mind when we look at these overall national stats.

John Jordan
User Rank
Blogger
Re: Investment in Real Estate so far not so good
John Jordan   5/12/2011 4:03:21 PM
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To really understand the market, you can't go by the national numbers. For an investor to make a rational decision on whether to invest and where, he must know the local market. Markets differ, sometime community by community and even block by block. I agree that we are in a slow, gradual recovery. However, some markets are recovering faster than others.


John Jordan
User Rank
Blogger
Re: Investment in Real Estate so far not so good
John Jordan   5/12/2011 4:03:19 PM
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To really understand the market, you can't go by the national numbers. For an investor to make a rational decision on whether to invest and where, he must know the local market. Markets differ, sometime community by community and even block by block. I agree that we are in a slow, gradual recovery. However, some markets are recovering faster than others.

icebreaker1975
User Rank
Silver
On the rise
icebreaker1975   5/12/2011 3:55:47 PM
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Next to gold there is no better investment than in land.  Its a permanent stock that reaps incredible rewards.

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