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Scott Raynovich
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Blogger
Re: Buying Gold as GLD
Scott Raynovich   3/15/2012 12:51:27 PM
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Advantages of GLD: It's easy.

Disadvantages: It is a paper asset backed by physical metal. But there are intermediaries. Will they really be able to back all the metal they say they cover?

Personally for the average person you should either buy a gold mutual fund or just go down to main street and buy some gold coins. I talk to coin dealers all they time and they are still perplexed why there is not more enthusiasm.

PredictableChaos
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Platinum
Buying Gold as GLD
PredictableChaos   3/15/2012 12:11:39 PM
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As Scott mentions, there are several ways to buy gold.  Mining companies don't seem to track with gold, even over long times.  May have their own merits, but I'm not convinced that it's just a matter of time before they "catch up" to gold.

What are the advantages/disadvantages of buying shares of GLD?

Scott Raynovich
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Blogger
Re: Still Hight
Scott Raynovich   3/15/2012 12:06:47 PM
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Ha, it's just funny I have been telling people about this relationship for years and it still seems poorly understood by the public. It's the most basic, obvious trend in the financial markets.

All the central banks are printing lots and lots of money.

Noreen Seebacher
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Blogger
Re: Still Hight
Noreen Seebacher   3/15/2012 11:45:55 AM
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You don't have to shout, @Scott! Geez!

Scott Raynovich
User Rank
Blogger
Re: Still Hight
Scott Raynovich   3/15/2012 11:42:50 AM
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Noreen -- READ THE REPORT!

MONEY SUPPLY, MONEY SUPPLY, MONEY SUPPLY.

Of course, money supply begets inflation. But the Fed knows that other forces (such as debt reduction) are strongly deflationary, so it keeps doing it.

There are other factors but that is the main one given that the correlation between gold and money supply is 80%



Noreen Seebacher
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Blogger
Re: Still Hight
Noreen Seebacher   3/15/2012 11:21:04 AM
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Scott, what would you consider the single biggest factor that could fuel gold prices? Inflation?

The Fed noted this week that  it believes high oil prices are going to fuel inflation. And while it said it expects the inflation to be temporary, it looks like a lot of factors, including tensions in the Middle East, could keep gas prices (and inflation) elevated for some time to come, right?

Scott Raynovich
User Rank
Blogger
Re: Still Hight
Scott Raynovich   3/15/2012 11:13:43 AM
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@TF

I covered it here, I think gold is going to at least $2600, probably much higher:

http://www.investoruprising.com/document.asp?doc_id=232695

I don't known that I would consider gold in a "slow climb" it is up 500% since 2002!

Also, consider where it was last year at this time. It broke out over $1400 last February and climbed as high as $1,900 before pulling back.

TelecomFreq
User Rank
Platinum
Still Hight
TelecomFreq   3/15/2012 10:03:33 AM
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Scott, I am thinking you are on the right track here, gold is still high and all indications point to it continuing a slow climb, at least for a little while longer. Though I am skeptical as to how high it will actually get in the short term

Do you have a figure in mind that it will hit before it starts to move back to a bear market?

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