Investor Uprising - Surprise!!

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Comments Surprise!! View Comments: Newest First \| Oldest First \| Threaded View [close this box] User Rank Blogger Surprise!! Noreen Seebacher 4/10/2012 9:14:25 AM NO RATINGS Login to Rate Scott mentioned the the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index in a post this week. The proprietary index keeps track of the ratio of upside US economic data surprises to downside surprises. But here is what is interesting -- or disturbing. The index hit 91.9 on January 6 -- its highest level since March 2011. It now stands at 4.6. That's quite a deceleration! Many analysts say it has been fairly reliable in the past as a leading stock-market indicator, meaning the index's recent declines "aren't such a great sign for investors." Analysis from Thomson Reuters shows a consistent relationship between 3-month trailing performance of the S&P 500 Index and the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index. Based on that analysis, if economic data continues on its current trajectory, markets may suffer. Of course, not everyone considers the index a perfect barometer, especially in regard to equity markets. And they think the market may surprise the surprise index. What are your thoughts? Reply Post Message Messages List Start a Board The blogs and comments posted on Investor Uprising do not reflect the views of Investor Uprising, PRNewswire, or its sponsors. Investor Uprising, PRNewswire, and its sponsors do not assume responsibility for any comments, claims, or opinions made by authors and bloggers. They are no substitute for your own research and should not be relied upon for trading or any other purpose.		Latest Blogs Ciena Poised for Telecom Spending Rebound 28 comments Telecom-equipment maker Ciena is a stock trader’s dream, as long as the timing is correct. Spamalot: Attack of the Robocallers 25 comments The FTC is offering a $50,000 cash prize to the person or group that can come up with a solution to those annoying robocalls. Akamai Supports the Cloud 34 comments Akamai is in the middle of four significant tech trends. The Ongoing Saga of Malone vs. Karmazin 13 comments John Malone of Liberty Media will be taking over Sirius XM satellite radio when the existing CEO Mel Karmazin steps down. What's it mean? Utility of a Liberal Arts Degree 16 comments Demand for students of the humanities exists, despite widespread aspersions on the discipline. More Blogs IU Education Resources to help you become a better investor See all educational resources Quick Poll POLL ARCHIVE Investor Uprising on Twitter follow us Like Us on Facebook Top 10 IU Hot Topics Macro Life Government Technology Consumer/Retail Legal Stocks Investment Opinions Jobs Bankruptcy 25 market-moving companies we're tracking



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Comments Surprise!! View Comments: Newest First \| Oldest First \| Threaded View [close this box] User Rank Blogger Surprise!! Noreen Seebacher 4/10/2012 9:14:25 AM NO RATINGS Login to Rate Scott mentioned the the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index in a post this week. The proprietary index keeps track of the ratio of upside US economic data surprises to downside surprises. But here is what is interesting -- or disturbing. The index hit 91.9 on January 6 -- its highest level since March 2011. It now stands at 4.6. That's quite a deceleration! Many analysts say it has been fairly reliable in the past as a leading stock-market indicator, meaning the index's recent declines "aren't such a great sign for investors." Analysis from Thomson Reuters shows a consistent relationship between 3-month trailing performance of the S&P 500 Index and the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index. Based on that analysis, if economic data continues on its current trajectory, markets may suffer. Of course, not everyone considers the index a perfect barometer, especially in regard to equity markets. And they think the market may surprise the surprise index. What are your thoughts? Reply Post Message Messages List Start a Board The blogs and comments posted on Investor Uprising do not reflect the views of Investor Uprising, PRNewswire, or its sponsors. Investor Uprising, PRNewswire, and its sponsors do not assume responsibility for any comments, claims, or opinions made by authors and bloggers. They are no substitute for your own research and should not be relied upon for trading or any other purpose.		Latest Blogs Ciena Poised for Telecom Spending Rebound 28 comments Telecom-equipment maker Ciena is a stock trader’s dream, as long as the timing is correct. Spamalot: Attack of the Robocallers 25 comments The FTC is offering a $50,000 cash prize to the person or group that can come up with a solution to those annoying robocalls. Akamai Supports the Cloud 34 comments Akamai is in the middle of four significant tech trends. The Ongoing Saga of Malone vs. Karmazin 13 comments John Malone of Liberty Media will be taking over Sirius XM satellite radio when the existing CEO Mel Karmazin steps down. What's it mean? Utility of a Liberal Arts Degree 16 comments Demand for students of the humanities exists, despite widespread aspersions on the discipline. More Blogs IU Education Resources to help you become a better investor See all educational resources Quick Poll POLL ARCHIVE Investor Uprising on Twitter follow us Like Us on Facebook Top 10 IU Hot Topics Macro Life Government Technology Consumer/Retail Legal Stocks Investment Opinions Jobs Bankruptcy 25 market-moving companies we're tracking



PR Newswire's Terms of Use Apply \| Privacy \| Contact Us Copyright © 1996-2013 PR Newswire Association LLC. All Rights Reserved. A UBM plc company.