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Street Smart
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Swing State Spending
Street Smart   6/11/2012 10:10:42 AM
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I agree with your basic premise that campaign spending buys influence not votes. However, there is a small exception to that, namely that all the billions being raised are going to advertising in a small number of swing states.

Living in New York as I do, I will never see the ads; never get a door-to-door canvass, never really have my vote matter.  My money would matter, but it would go to funding scorched earth efforts in maybe five states.  No thanks!

driven
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Iron
Re: Swing State Spending
driven   6/11/2012 10:28:40 AM
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During the last presidential election I made a $10 contribution to the  Obama campaign simply because I was curious about the use of social media and wanted to get the text alerts, etc. Well, four years later I am still trying to purge my name from the mailing lists. Once a donor, you are always viewed as a sucker.

Ed Leefeldt
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Blogger
Re: Swing State Spending
Ed Leefeldt   6/11/2012 10:39:52 AM
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I agree. Once on a mailing list - anybody's mailing list - you never escape. Often your name and address are "regifted" to everyone else in the same business. Charities are frequent offenders.

AskAsa
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Platinum
Re: Swing State Spending
AskAsa   6/11/2012 10:44:42 AM
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They call them sucker lists for a reason, don't they?

AskAsa
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Platinum
Re: Swing State Spending
AskAsa   6/11/2012 10:45:58 AM
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The other thing that's annoying is that political groups are exempt from a lot of consumer laws, like robocalls and provisions of the do not call lists.,

Dex
User Rank
Iron
Re: Swing State Spending
Dex   6/11/2012 10:54:34 AM
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I never understood why political groups got a pass on the do not call list. They are the ones I want to hear from the least.

Ed Leefeldt
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Blogger
Re: Swing State Spending
Ed Leefeldt   6/11/2012 10:41:32 AM
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Blame the electoral college for that one. Politicians talk about getting rid of this anachronism, but it never happens, because it allows them to get the most bang for their economic buck.

PredictableChaos
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Platinum
Electoral College
PredictableChaos   6/11/2012 11:01:16 AM
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I always found the Electoral college to be a mystery.... until Bush v. Gore in 2000.

Remember that Circus?  There will be close elections again.  Just like 2000, one state or even a fraction of a state will be under a microscope. 

And this local fiasco is so much better than nationwide chaos.

PC

Drivewaygirl
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Platinum
Re: Electoral College
Drivewaygirl   6/11/2012 11:04:10 AM
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The more I learned about the Electoral college the more depressed I felt about our alleged democracy. (ok democratic republic...)

Street Smart
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Platinum
British Role Models?
Street Smart   6/11/2012 11:07:50 AM
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When I was reading the original post, I decided to research the concept of a "vote of no-confidence" which allows the UK to change its government more frequently than every four years.

I'm mixed on the results and would love other's opinions.  The good news is that a disfunctional government gets put out of its misery sooner.  The bad news is that the legislature, in that case Parliament, holds all the power.

The idea of our Congress controlling the executive branch is pretty scary.  Not sure what the lesser of the evils is in this case.

Ed Leefeldt
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Blogger
Re: Electoral College
Ed Leefeldt   6/11/2012 11:07:11 AM
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Perhaps someone can explain the Supreme Court's "Citizens United" decision, that makes the Super PACs all powerful and makes money even more powerful than votes. Influential groups like the NRA pushed for this.

Drivewaygirl
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Platinum
Re: Electoral College
Drivewaygirl   6/11/2012 11:10:35 AM
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Explaining Super PACs is like explaining the birth of the universe. Way too hard for most people to understand.

cat tail
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Platinum
election costs
cat tail   6/11/2012 11:13:33 AM
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$1 billion to run a campaign is absolutely ridiculous.

Phoenix
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Gold
Re: election costs
Phoenix   6/11/2012 12:18:32 PM
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I agree specially at a time like this. If they really did care and wanted to be true leaders to the American people they should use the money to help with the unemployed etc. That's not going to happen but I think people are going to notice how the money is spent during this election more than in the previous elections because of the economic problems.

AskAsa
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Platinum
Re: election costs
AskAsa   6/11/2012 4:02:10 PM
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And what do you want to bet that the ad agencies that benefit from this windfall will have some political connection to the candidates?

driven
User Rank
Iron
Re: election costs
driven   6/11/2012 4:05:47 PM
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I bet you are right. I also bet most of that revenue will remain concentrated in the hands of the top execs--and not find its way to the hands of the workers.

Dex
User Rank
Iron
Re: election costs
Dex   6/11/2012 4:29:26 PM
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How much would they spend if they just eliminated every negative ad?

Dex
User Rank
Iron
Re: election costs
Dex   6/11/2012 4:38:06 PM
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My guess: A hell of a lot less than $1 billion...

Drivewaygirl
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Platinum
Re: election costs
Drivewaygirl   6/11/2012 6:14:08 PM
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I bet you are right. I don't give anything -- not even by checking that box on the income tax return

PredictableChaos
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Platinum
Re: election costs
PredictableChaos   6/11/2012 6:20:44 PM
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LOL @Drivewaygirl -

At the end of the income tax process, I am in the farthest thing possible from a charitable mood.  NOT checking that little box feels like thumbing my nose at the IRS.  Yes, I know it doesn't effect my tax bill, but I never check that box.

PC

Drivewaygirl
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Platinum
Re: election costs
Drivewaygirl   6/12/2012 5:44:40 AM
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Ah! I'm glad I'm not alone PC!

Phoenix
User Rank
Gold
Re: election costs
Phoenix   6/11/2012 8:15:56 PM
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The ad agencies will benefit a lot and like you said there could be the political beneficiary as well. So much money spent for such a cause really makes you rethink this whole thing. And it's just going to annoy most of the intended target market. Do you think the negative ads have an impact on the voters?

Street Smart
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Platinum
Michelle, My Bellwether
Street Smart   6/11/2012 8:37:28 PM
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Does anyone else find it upsetting or odd that Michelle Obama is doing the fundraising?  What is the message she is sending...that Barack is that unpopular?  Or that she wants it more than he does?

Doesn't sit well with me either way, and yes, I did vote for him in 2008.  But not because of her...

Broadway
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Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Broadway   6/11/2012 10:15:01 PM
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Here's a weird couple of coincidences I've noticed on the news in the last couple weeks. Could be coincidence, could be a guerrila marketing campaign. Anyway, the first instance occurred when President Obama was giving a speaking engagement and a kid had him sign an excuse note for missing school because he went to see Obama instead. Next instance occurred nearly a week later when this time the First Lady was giving a speech and, yes, she signed a note for a child to give to her teacher for missing school. Both made the news.

Drivewaygirl
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Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Drivewaygirl   6/12/2012 5:42:30 AM
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That is too random to be coincidence. Maybe they got such good reaction the first time they tried the same plan a second time.

Street Smart
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Street Smart   6/12/2012 6:55:52 AM
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@Broadway, good catch on the corny news stories about both Obamas signing notes to miss school.  NO coincidence there!

The irony to me is that I simply cannot imagine the tables being turned and the Obama girls missing school for any such purpose.  Michelle, the tiger mother, would NEVER permit that!

This story dates me, but it's worth it:  Years ago, when I was in high school in Southern California, Richard Nixon did a campaign event in my home town.  I was active in student government at the time and was offered the chance to miss school to help work at the rally.

As intoxicatingly novel as bailing on a day of classes was, I just COULD NOT see my way clear to go work for Tricky Dick.  Looking back on history, I'm not sure to this day if I'm happy or sad about my choice!

Drivewaygirl
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Drivewaygirl   6/12/2012 7:13:42 AM
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From a strictly practical standpoint, a note from anyone other than a parent or guardian isn't even legal

Street Smart
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Street Smart   6/12/2012 8:15:02 AM
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Ha, ha, ha, @Drivewaygirl!  You're absolutely right!  Am I the only one picturing some aide walking behind Obama carrying a whole BOX of permission slips and handing them out?

Dex
User Rank
Iron
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Dex   6/12/2012 9:53:55 AM
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Nope, I'm thinking it too--and it disturbs me

AskAsa
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Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
AskAsa   6/12/2012 10:01:17 AM
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So no one sees this as an honest effort by the President and First Lady to excuse a kid from class?

No, neither do I!

Tenacious
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Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Tenacious   6/12/2012 10:09:08 AM
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These staged events are among my least favorite stupid political tricks

AskAsa
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Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
AskAsa   6/12/2012 10:28:08 AM
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Wonder how many focus groups it took to determine this would be "cute"?

Street Smart
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Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Street Smart   6/12/2012 10:40:23 AM
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@AskAsa, I'll see your focus group and raise you a national poll!

cat tail
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Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
cat tail   6/12/2012 11:22:15 AM
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What ever happened to just kissing babies?

AskAsa
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
AskAsa   6/12/2012 11:27:11 AM
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@Cat tail, I think they outlawed that after Clinton.

Tenacious
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Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Tenacious   6/12/2012 11:31:32 AM
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Ha! Good one.

cat tail
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
cat tail   6/12/2012 11:49:56 AM
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Agreed! That is a pretty funny (albeit accurate) comment.

tokyogai
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
tokyogai   6/12/2012 2:38:15 PM
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I think they will still kiss babies, but now there must be a charge. You need to raise those billions somehow!

AskAsa
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
AskAsa   6/12/2012 11:27:35 AM
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LOL @Street Smart

Broadway
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Broadway   6/12/2012 3:46:06 PM
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I saw the notes on the news reports, and they were handwritten by the president and the first lady, so in the very least these aren't rubber stamp affairs. I am now leaning to the fact that perhaps the president did it impromptu the first time, realized the great reaction it got and realized that anytime a child attended a rally and mentioned missing school for it, they would scribble one of these notes. In other words, not a conspiracy but cheap and easy free publicity.

Street Smart
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Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Street Smart   6/13/2012 11:07:07 AM
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Thanks for the clarification, @Broadway.  I'm sure you're right that the notes aren't robo-created!  It still seems lame to me.  What kind of person takes his/her kid out of school to go to a political rally?  In 2008 maybe, but not now.

Actually, I think that's what 's at the root of this.  I think Obama just wants to show that he's still "got it" with the crowd-drawing charisma. But remember that everyone who gets close to the First Family needs to be vetted by the Secret Service (there's a joke there, but I'm above making it!)

None of this audience participation stuff is EVER spontaneous.  Those kids and their families were pre-chosen for their 15 seconds of fame, so cute PR but at the end of the day, so what?

PredictableChaos
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
PredictableChaos   6/13/2012 1:02:28 PM
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Agreed - Obama really wants to show he's still "got it" with the crowd-drawing charisma.

Has anybody fainted at his Obama's speeches lately?  Maybe when the weather gets a little warmer we'll see some stories about that again.

Charisma can't be forced.

back2basicz
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
back2basicz   6/16/2012 9:08:00 AM
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PC,

I wonder why people even Bother with Election rallies anymore.

Its all a question of who lies more in my opinion.

I would rather take the time out to do some Reading which I thoroughly enjoy!

Regards

Ashish.

back2basicz
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
back2basicz   6/16/2012 9:40:49 AM
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PC,

Good point.

My only issue in all of this is that how do you get the Memo through to Obama?

Dude,Obama-You flopped its time to step aside and let someone else try their turn!

Obama is waaay to thick-skinned to change anything today.

Ashish.

Broadway
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Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Broadway   6/13/2012 11:46:17 PM
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I don't know who goes to political rallies, period, with kids or otherwise. To me, they seem like the lamest, choreographed form of entertainment possible. I would rather watch street performers, even the kind that paint themselves with metallic paint and don't move for hours on end. Impromptu poll here ... anybody ever attend a political rally for one of the two major parties?

Noreen Seebacher
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Blogger
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Noreen Seebacher   6/14/2012 5:45:38 AM
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LOL Broadway!

Street Smart
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Street Smart   6/14/2012 7:44:16 AM
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@Broadway...ha, ha, tell us how you REALLY feel about political rallies!  Seriously, I think the poll is a great idea, so I'm weighing in.

Never been to a political rally; never plan to attend one.  I did go to a fundraising dinner for a California state senate candidate once (the husband of a college friend of mine) and that was a whole new circle of hell we haven't even discussed!

Then there's the "town hall meeting," another unique torture device.  A friend of mine was wounded in the Gabrielle Giffords shooting last year, so I'm swearing off those, too.

But I do vote...

PredictableChaos
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
PredictableChaos   6/14/2012 3:43:56 PM
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A friend of mine was wounded in the Gabrielle Giffords shooting last year, so I'm swearing off those, too.


@Street Smart - I'm swearing off political shootings myself. :-)

 

In response to @Broadways poll - I've never been to a political rally for the major parties. 

PC

Drivewaygirl
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Michelle, My Bellwether
Drivewaygirl   6/12/2012 5:43:46 AM
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Yep, they always send the spouse when the spouse is seen as more engaging. Not a good sign.

back2basicz
User Rank
Platinum
We all have to put Food on the Table.
back2basicz   6/16/2012 9:05:06 AM
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Guys,

I don't get it.

What's the big deal about this thoughtprocess that the Media benefits the most from all this Electioneering???

After all,we all have to put Food on the Table right?

People in Media also have the same issues which normal people have-They are running a Business for heaven's sake.

Regards

Ashish.

back2basicz
User Rank
Platinum
Ron Paul was ditched by his own Son...The Followers are angry.
back2basicz   6/16/2012 10:17:00 AM
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Guys,

Speaking about the Presidential Primaries;Ron Paul was ditched by his own Son.

http://www.americanbreakingpoint.com/politics/et-tu-rand-paul.html?cc=eletter&ct=ABP20120616A&cs=cgpo&sid=IQ7600&en=3697580

The man has twice the Grass Roots Organization that anyone else in the Republican Party has.

He was the one person who was most capable of fusing it with New Blood.

Now his Son has sold out the entire idea to the Neocons.

Most dissapointing.

It shows in Politics as in everything else,Everybody has a price.

Regards

Ashish.





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